According to quotes received by Nairametrics late on Tuesday, the exchange rate between the naira and the dollar has dropped to N900/$1 on the black market, from N840/$1 late last week, following the central bank’s warning to speculators about a possible decline.
Rates were trading around N865-N870/$1 earlier on Tuesday, indicating that quick demand is on the rise while supply issues persist.
The dollar was quoted as low as N955/$1 in mid-August, raising investor concerns that the exchange rate may fall to N1000/$1.
The Tinubu administration, on the other hand, signaled its determination to address the currency’s rapid decline, reinforced by the central bank’s promise to act.
Furthermore, the government publicized that the NNPC had secured a deal to borrow $3.5 billion, funds earmarked to boost supply amidst escalating demand pressures. Such measures buoyed the local currency, hinting that the black market premium over the official I&E Window might shrink to a mere 5%, a scenario welcomed by the market.
Yet, recent insights from JP Morgan revealed that as of December 2022, Nigeria’s central bank possessed net reserves amounting to approximately $3.7 billion. This disclosure rattled analysts, and the exact cause behind the naira’s depreciation remains nebulous.
Operators, speaking to Newsmen under the condition of anonymity, suggested that the currency’s slide can be attributed to mounting demand pressures.
One such operator, choosing to be identified simply as “Musa”, speculated that the currency’s brief appreciation earlier in the week was triggered by speculator anxieties over potential appreciation. However, Musa emphasized that genuine demand persists, and it remains unfulfilled due to unresolved supply issues.
“”We have heard so much from the government but we are yet to see the dollar. Maybe when it starts to flow the exchange rate will be stronger” Musa stated.
Adding another layer, Nigeria’s central bank declared its intentions to reincorporate BDC operators into the forex market, guided by a revamped set of protocols. This maneuver was heralded by many analysts who conversed with Nairametrics as a judicious stride towards ameliorating liquidity at the retail level.
In related news, trading on the official I&E window on August 22 witnessed the exchange rate between the naira and the dollar settling at N770/$1, a drop from N761.32 the previous day. The intra-day high soared to N799.9/$1, whereas the intra-day low dipped to N720/$1. Market activity for the day registered a turnover of $122 million.